Government Debt in Mature Economies. Safe or Risky?
(with Roberto Gomez Cram and Howard Kung) [Link] paper prepared for Jackson Hole Evonomic Symposium
Can U.S. Treasury Markets Add and Subtract?
(with Roberto Gomez Cram and Howard Kung) [Link]
The U.S. Public Debt Valuation Puzzle
with Zhengyang Jiang, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Mindy Z. Xiaolan (2024). Econometrica [Link]
Implications of Asset Market Data for Equilibrium Models of Exchange Rates
(with Zhengyang Jiang and Arvind Krishnamurthy) [Link]
What Drives Variation in the U.S. Debt/Output Ratio? The Dog that Did not Bark
With Zhengyang Jiang, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Mindy Z. Xiaolan (2023). Journal of Finance [Link]
Dollar Safety and the Global Financial Cycle
With Zhengyang Jiang and Arvind Krishnamurthy. (2023) Stanford University Graduate School of Business Research Paper No. 19-16 [Link]
Discussion of “Debt and Deficits: Fiscal Analysis with Stationary Rations”
By John Y. Campbell, Can Gao, and Ian Martin. [Link]
Fiscal Capacity: An Asset Pricing Perspective
with Zhengyang Jiang, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Mindy Z. Xiaolan (2022), Review of Financial Economics (accepted). Link: https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev-financial-110921-103651PDF: https://gsb-faculty.stanford.edu/hanno-lustig/files/2023/07/lecture_UCLA_May_2023_final.pdf
Measuring U.S. Fiscal Capacity using Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
with Zhengyang Jiang, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Mindy Z. Xiaolan (2022), Brookings Papers on Economic Activity [Link]
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